Wednesday 20 November 2019

Age Bubbles, a break in reporting ITV Leader Debate

This is notes to group a few things from today following last nights ITV show. I think there is a break in how different age groups view this. Not sure of the actual ages but this may become clear later. YouGov found the verdict very close - 52 to Johnson, 48 to Corbyn and this was widely reported, especially on telly. But other results available on Twitter.



The ITV poll based on Twitter so a lower age profile than YouGov.  But very different results. See also this set of stats from af  @adflaz



See also this chart from another of his tweets, not sure where from or what based on



So the breakpoint age might be mid 50s or was in 2017. Could go higher, just a guess.

This suggests a break around age with older people reading newspapers, younger more into social media, with different reporting on the same event.

Some stats from 2017 in this page from intermedia . Telegraph average age was 61.

My guess things are changing quite fast but in the same direction. Any links to recent stats welcome.

Telly still caught up in print journalism. No sign yet of breaking away either with distinct opinion or to look at Fleet Street as a financial and content crisis. Social media gets stronger imho in spite of @CCHQPress eforts to spread confusion.




Tuesday 19 November 2019

Current topics round #LiarJohnson

So far a few issues have turned up as a focus for Johnson and dishonesty. See tweets with my comment










Grayling has a robust view on Revoke and not much time for Corbyn but on this topic he sounds about right.

Issues are Russia Report, process around non publication , Arcuri , process around cancelled police probe, illegal aspects of Brexit campaigns, various related.

I have some graphics to repeat


Crop based on Byline Times


Started as a comment on how "Communism" makes it as a BBC splash but can relate to anything

From Sunday Times , and as yet not many other places

See also @OborneTweets




Sunday 17 November 2019

Draft shape of this blog

This election is a rerun of the referendum in terms of most of the characters. More info emerges and a possible shape to a story, could be a book. continues as blog. Based on recent events / bits of news.

Maybe start in 2003. Found this on Spectator site, now no paywall for this version. Johnson interviews Berlusconi. Suggested in Sunday Times last week this was a model for some of his thinking. So maybe there are then connections with Bannon , Trump other USA projects. The Russian aspect may not have been obvious.

So before 2016 some connection Trump /Brexit . Photos show something. What it was to be explained later.

BBC under pressure from Conservatives , both pro and anti Brexit. . Not sure how they coped. There may be something about how they reported referendum that they do not want to be well known. Strange how they treat @CaroleCadwalladr . They may not have realised the Russian angle at first but now seem reluctant to report it.

Most newspapers even more so, Mail/Sun/Telegraph/Express totally into Brexit Party / Johnson project. #TrumpAlliance now obvious. It may be a social movement not a pact, but consequence is to split target seats into trad Conservative and trad Labour, try to offer Brexit instead. Drift of Brexit as a right wing project even more obvious - Kate Hoey retires to the land of DUP.

Anti Corbyn views shared by "moderate" press - Guardian / Observer / Channel 4 . What happened to the "moderates". Include Cameron? Now shifted to Independents , outside Conservative Party. Also some to LibDem. Corbyn now more in control of Labour. During referendum the "moderates" had more influence, especially media contacts.

Leave campaign was Farage and also Gove / Johnson. Now the same people but Cummings in Downing Street. History of breaking laws, being found guilty, not well reported. Danger much greater than media supposes, as far as we can tell. So reports, probes blocked. What to think?

Meanwhile in USA it could be peak Trump. Impeachment seems likely. Some facts may come out about Brexit as part of the USA reporting. CNN on a different level to any UK telly.

Blog form continues but there might be an ending, required for book version.

To be continued.


Tuesday 12 November 2019

Roy Greenslade notes "Endangered Newsprint" - a moment in 2019 election

Writing in Guardian about the UK general election 2019 , Roy Greenslade -

National newsprint domination of the debate, if not entirely extinct, is on the endangered list.

then also

Although television still holds the central ground, viewing figures suggest it is gradually losing its audience appeal, especially among young voters. They prefer Facebook, Twitter, WhatsApp, YouTube and Instagram.

This seems to be true but we do not know the scale or the timescale. My guess is things could be changing faster than some realise. BBC News and Sky News both very interlinked with print content. they repeat stories and rely on guests for comment. Newspaper / telly credibility depend on each other.

Tweet from yesterday, following social media concern when BBC replaced video of Johnson from this year with a previous year some thought better for his image.



( By the way my own "hysteria" came about when the BBC apology story included this-

"On Sunday, some online newspapers pointed out that Johnson placed the wreath down the wrong way round at the Cenotaph, while Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn also came under criticism from some who felt he did not bow deeply enough." 

There is no reason to report criticism of Jeremy Corbyn. This started as a story about Johnson and a BBC apology. )

Anyway back on main track, my guess is that there are more online than the 695 who replied to this tweet.  Cyril, by the way, is an imagined son who appears with planted attack lines on BBC Question Time. I think this is obviously a joke. Why Rob Burley refutes it point by point i cannot imagine. there are many fact based tweets he has not replied to.

I have tried on Twitter to identify a breakpoint age, when people give up on newspapers / telly and turn to social media. I suggested it was 42 when the election started, now 47. Two people replied both over 70. They have stopped reading newspapers. I guess they sometimes find BBC. But however much the proper journalists report the dangers of fake news online, people will make up their own mind. Later @ofcom will publish stats. As before, my guess this election will show a shift.


This from today, Sun finds a way into social media, to be fair once you click through they do say the source of the numbers is the Conservative Party.

Same news story on Tuesday as it was on Sunday. Trouble is, not really journalism. The newspapers may have an older audience but declining sales and youth moving online not very surprising.

Roy Greenslade also writes about mainstream journalists.

Their response has been less than overwhelming. They appear to have learned nothing from detractors who complain about arrogance and partisan spin. Thousands of social media postings point to the supposed faults of the mainstream media, while people seem to revel in writing hostile below-the-line comments on newspaper websites. Do editors and reporters simply ignore them?

Seems to me that journalists often ignore online comments. The Guardian closed down Unlimited Talk for example and never joined in the conversations. He is not specific about political editors but my impression is that @peston and @BBClaurak both think they are sort of embedded with #No10Sources . They report as if all the audience share the mission to achieve a Conservative majority. Labour often not mentioned. So the reporting on the hung parliament was often misleading in my opinion, did not reflect the real situation.

Roy Greenslade on tabloids ( regards Telegraph as a broadsheet with tabloid agenda )

Day after day, coverage in tabloids has been predictable and repetitive – self-serving, shrill and sometimes silly.

Trouble is the Guardian is heading the same way. Around the time of "Bollocks to Brexit" the LibDem agenda became very clear, the attack on Jeremy Corbyn too obvious. The Labour case for national unity, the need for a debate around Europe, to spend time on negotiation to repair the Conservative chaos, all this will need some form of journalism in support. Probably online, not in the Guardian. Time will tell.

Sunday 10 November 2019

Sunday Times Exclusive - #LiarJohnson model is Berlusconi

Page 22 of print version Sunday Times today starts off with a defence of Boris Johnson as a liar. Dominic Lawson quotes Lisa Thomas , Merthy Tydfil hairdresser, as seen on BBC Panorama as selected by David Dimbleby.  - Johnson "has been proved to be a liar (but) he's got balls of steel".  Lawson then suggests that Brexit supporters will accept Johnson as a liar as at least he is their liar. Later Lawson explains that Dominic Cummings intends to pitch "Boris" and "the people" against parliamentary obstructionism. Apparently Johnson has always believed in the #strong man" theory of politics.



In 2003 Johnson did a Berlusconi interview for the Spectator, described by Lawson as "intensely enthusiastic" .
"The Italian population liked him for his energy and they handsomely rewarded him...suddenly after decades in which Italian politics was in thrall to a procession of gloomy, portentious, jargon-laden partitocrats, there appeared this influoresence of American gung-hoery"
Not sure why Berlusconi seen as American abut the styles may have merged with Trump meanwhile in some versions.

The Spectator is behind a paywall but the article is available online. Anyone with access, please add comments. Not to blow out the copyright but to add to the debate. Extracts are ok for review and comment, assuming legal precedent continues.



So how far have we gone towards a similar UK situation as when Berlusconi was PM in Italy? there may be reports on Russian influence but we do not know the contents. Johnson has influence on the Telegraph and it seems the Conservative Party can rely on Sun/Times/Telegraph/Mail . BBC Marr show ignores Observer in papers review, avoiding mention of another situation postponed till after the election. Possibly a coincidence but could be a trend. Time will tell.


Also interesting as background are reports about parties in Italy such as this one in Guardian

source : TASS

Until the report about Russian involvement in UK politics is published, speculation will continue.









Tuesday 5 November 2019

Notes on Fake Video , Twitter, BBC, Good Morning ITV

Election will not go on like this, much too early , normally hear a little bit of Today and go back to sleep.

But the bit I heard still about Fake Video. So these notes in one place, will become tweets.

Matt Hancock reposting Conservative video mashup from Good Morning Britain with Sir Keir Starmer. Identified as misleading by @BBCDanielS , noticed by @RobBurl . Not sure if still there.

Cannot remember exactly who said what when but reponse to Outside Source and Today -

It is not normal to deliberately make false statements to get attention. Bannon has a theory about it. Trump gets on with it. But in UK only the Leave promoters have gone for scale. Cameron resisted the idea, not sure what Mandelson suggested ( joke ) Maybe the people are the same or changed but this recent Fake Video is from the Conservative Party / #No10Sources.

This will not blow over or be forgotten later. It will set the tone of the election. Presumably the Conservative Party intends to continue in the same manner. What to expect from others? Nancy Pelosi has been slowed down to appear age challenged. Do we want more of this sort of thing in UK?

Twitter blocks political adverts. Is there any policy on what potential MPs can post? @MattHancock

What can ITV make of it? The satire is aimed at the way interviews are done. Sir Keith Starmer more or less survives.

Monday 4 November 2019

One Nation SKY compares to #No10Sources BBC

This is just a theory. My main suggestion is to wait and see. But I am beginning to see a pattern. BBC is keen to maintain access to #No10sources. They tend to get some exclusives and at least a central role in the pooled clips they play on the main news. With May @BBCnickrobinson was inside the limo, as shown on telly.

So maybe this is why I get the feeling SKY has done a much better job eporting the Russia Report as not published by #No10sources. #Marr did ask questions but no follow up on the claims about normal timescales. Compare statements on SKY by Dominic Grieve.

There have also been @AdamBoulton interviews with Kenneth Clarke and Michael Heseltine. Both made remarks I think might have been cut on BBC. Just my guess.

So is it possible The BBC will carry on like this? #No10sources may soon be competing with Farage to claim the proper Brexit. Will the BBC travel along with this? Will the World Service repeat much the same?

SKY may have some distance from the sources but may make more sense. Time will tell.
( @peston gone the same way as BBC where he came from , just my take )

------

Meanwhile BBC Press Office admits errors in Question Time. Follow @shahmiruk to keep up. There is definitely a pattern here. The #BBC tends to trust information from @IsabelOakeshott . #Marr show needed her help to interview @carolecadwalla . Something happened during the referendum that got the BBC deeper into the story. Not sure what it was but it almost seems as if they cannot report on Russia, Facebook, links to Trump as if it would show up something about the BBC if they did. Speculation obviously, we just do not know. The tone of @afneil tweets re @carolecadwalla . The #Marr welcome for @IsabelOakeshott when interviewing @CaroleCadwalla . Just various things that suggest there is some background story yet to be told.

Brexit Party , Newspapers , Social Media

I am supporting Labour in this election so lots of retweets with Brexit graphics not a positive idea. But this blog has few readers and is more or less notes for a future publication. So there is one from Leave.EU further down.

Looks like Brexit Party will stand in 600 seats. The newspapers each seem to be backing conservatives and have started to attack Farage.

Sample ( archive shots later )

Daily Mail today has "Farage losthis nerve at the first whiff of grapeshot?......want Brexit to happen, they must vote Tory"

Telegraph front page headline - Farage "could ruin UK's hope of Brexit"

Saturday Sun says "Wrecker Nigel "

Sunday Express Arron Banks wants Brexit Party to concentrate on 40 to 50 seats held by Labour. (page 18) and also there is a two page advert from Brexit Party. Much less obvious pro Conservative than other papers.

Current version of Express formed by Richard Desmond so fits the billionaire meme presented by Corbyn. Now part of Reach with Mirror and they seem to be keeping the editorial policy.

But there may be a problem for circulation. Brexit Party without the media support it found in EU elections will turn to social media. The opinion pieces will be various. ERG so far still in newspapers praising the deal but I have seen one advocating no deal if parliament has not acted by end of January. So this is not exactly what I hear about Conservative support for deal. Also expects a hung parliament, not in the script. "The deal is like a ready made meal just pop it in the oven, all sorted by Xmas" Anyway more of this later.

By the way the Guardian is just as dependent on opinion as the other papers I think. They tend to a fairly simple LibDem Revoke opinion. Labour supporters will also turn to social media.

BBC and most telly still based on #No10sources but the story could get more complex.

Whether the numbers in the graphic are true I don't know. Just to illustrate priority for social media.



PS Just my opinion - If Brexit Party ends up with 40-50 candidates pitched against Labour they will have to explain why they are supporting the Conservatives and the deal. Maybe not, depends on the journalists.
Also this engagement may be based on adverts. I stay mostly with Twitter, seems organic but I may be in a bubble.

Friday 1 November 2019

What happened at Addenbrookes?

This is notes as not sure what happened or what video exists. Will be interesting case of how journalism happens. Print mixed, social media first, telly sometime later.

Artist Taxi Driver ( @chunkymark ) has had to take down a video compilation on Twitter. But could be positive, maybe the copyright is worth something and soon to be exclusive.

Yesterday early evening news BBC and Sky both used what I guess is a pool clip. Brexit resolution is "oven ready" say Boris in clothing with NHS logo. Just needs a majority in parliament. No questions, just another simple claim on the day the last one runs out of time.

This morning Daily Mirror in print page 8 reports trainee doctor who was not allowed to ask any questions. Video online. Print Guardian page 9 small story "Johnson booed on hospital visit" .  PM "appeared to get a frosty reception"..."national media were not invited to attend" . ( @rowenamason )

From #Brexitcast it appears that @ChrisMasonBBC was there but no mention of any booing or anything negative at all. They just played the clip about "oven ready" .

Other online video is from a phone not very good sound showing booing inside and better camera about the exit, suggests a problem atmosphere.

On #politicslive today Laura Parker started to talk about this but Jo Coburn seemed not to know about it and moved on. ( @Jo_Coburn @PeoplesMomentum )

I think it was Krishnan Guru-Murthy who raised questions about the pool system. It seems to be a way to control access. How long will telly put up with this sort of thing? ( @krishgm )

So this is a bit more than a tweet. Clues please. What happened?