Saturday, 19 April 2025

Trying out Grok - Europe and Asia background

I have tried a few posts on LinkedIn tht are either from AI to start with or updated by LinkedIn before they get published. Some content is not really suitable for LinkedIn, the more political views. Though I think there may be some consequences for HE from perceptions of changing values. Maybe more on that later. This post is about the apparnt view that USA can reduce interest in Europe then turn to more activity in Asia. My questions in bold, slight edit from Grok.

 Is it well known in USA that Europe is part of Asia ?

No, it is not well known or commonly accepted in the USA that Europe is part of Asia. In the US, Europe and Asia are generally taught and understood as separate continents, both geographically and culturally. This distinction is rooted in conventional definitions used in education, geography, and popular discourse, where Europe is defined as a distinct continent west of Asia, separated by landmarks like the Ural Mountains, the Caspian Sea, and the Caucasus Mountains.

The idea that Europe is part of Asia (sometimes referred to as Eurasia being a single continent) is more of a technical or academic perspective, occasionally discussed in geological or historical contexts. However, this view is not mainstream in the US, where the seven-continent model (Africa, Antarctica, Asia, Australia, Europe, North America, South America) is standard. Public awareness of the Eurasian landmass as a single continent is low, and the cultural, political, and historical differences between Europe and Asia reinforce their separation in common understanding.

Could this explain why some people in USA think that a reduced profile in Europe could help release energy for a profile in Asia ? The overland connections seem to be ignored.

The idea that some people in the USA might think a reduced profile in Europe could "release energy" for a greater focus on Asia likely stems from a combination of geopolitical, strategic, and perceptual factors, rather than a literal belief that Europe is part of Asia. The notion of overland connections (e.g., the Eurasian landmass) being ignored could indeed play a role, but it’s more about how mental models of global geography and strategy are shaped. Let’s break it down:

Geopolitical Prioritization and Mental Separation of Continents:

In the US, Europe and Asia are often treated as distinct strategic theaters due to historical alliances (e.g., NATO for Europe), cultural differences, and differing security concerns (e.g., Russia in Europe vs. China in Asia). This mental separation can lead policymakers, analysts, or the public to view reducing engagement in Europe (e.g., scaling back military presence or diplomatic focus) as a way to free up resources—financial, military, or political—for Asia, where the rise of China is seen as a growing priority. The physical overland connections between Europe and Asia (e.g., through Russia, Central Asia, or the Middle East) are often underemphasized in US strategic thinking, which tends to focus on maritime routes (e.g., the Indo-Pacific) or air-based power projection.

Ignorance of Eurasian Connectivity:

The Eurasian landmass is a continuous geographical entity, with overland routes like the Silk Road historically linking Europe and Asia. Modern infrastructure, such as China’s Belt and Road Initiative, further ties these regions together via rail, pipelines, and trade corridors. However, in the US, these overland connections are rarely highlighted in public discourse or education, which emphasizes transatlantic (US-Europe) and transpacific (US-Asia) relationships. This can lead to a perception that Europe and Asia are more isolated from each other than they actually are, making it seem feasible to "pivot" resources from one to the other without considering how events in one region (e.g., instability in Europe) could spill over into Asia via land routes, energy pipelines, or migration.

Strategic Miscalculation or Simplification:

The belief that reducing a profile in Europe could directly bolster efforts in Asia might reflect a simplified zero-sum view of global engagement, common in some US foreign policy debates. For example, during the Obama administration’s "Pivot to Asia," some argued that scaling back commitments in Europe or the Middle East would allow the US to focus on countering China. However, this overlooks how interconnected global security is. For instance,  a weakened NATO in Europe could embolden Russia, which shares a long border with China and influences Central Asia, complicating US goals in the Indo-Pacific. The overland Eurasian connections—energy pipelines, trade routes, and shared borders—mean that instability in one region can quickly affect the other, but this is often underappreciated in US strategic discussions.

Public and Elite Perceptions:

The US public, and even some policymakers, may not fully grasp the geopolitical implications of Eurasian connectivity due to the way geography is taught (Europe and Asia as separate continents) and the US’s insular geography, which emphasizes oceanic rather than overland connections. This could explain why some might see a reduced European presence as a straightforward way to redirect "energy" to Asia, ignoring how, say, Russian or Chinese influence in Central Asia or the Arctic could link the two regions strategically.

In summary, the tendency to ignore overland connections between Europe and Asia likely contributes to the view that reducing engagement in Europe could free up resources for Asia. This stems from a combination of treating Europe and Asia as separate strategic arenas, underemphasizing Eurasian connectivity, and oversimplifying global resource allocation. However, the reality of Eurasian interdependence—through trade, energy, and geopolitics—means such a pivot is rarely as clean as it seems.


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This seems fair enough as an AI answer to my question. I can believe that Grok has access to much material on X. News and versions of news to come may relate to this as background.


Tuesday, 11 February 2025

Private Eye Signals Trouble for Fleet Street

 I found this through Twitter. There was a post from Private Eye asking the last person to leave News Group to turn out the lights. Tweet question is journalism on its last legs ? Print will probably drift on in some form but this might as well be the date that UK newspapers hit a definite problem.



The use of the graphic is to encourage you to buy a print copy. Info on how Reach is cutting back on legal advice. Will the Telegraph have to reduce the number of jobs or will something turn up?

Also recent news about WH Smith. They will probably close half the high street shops. I think this is a problem for all newspapers. There comes a point when the distribution system fails to work.

The title of the blog is located " in Europe and cyberspapce " .  The Europe context is part of the problem for viability. Most of the titles are heavily into Brexit. They could not change their mind now. So they cannot move online and try to sell into Europe. The USA already has  a lot of news supply. The Mail is merging online and print. Could the print get more trivial than it is with "clickbait" stories ? Mirror apparently setting targets for clicks. It seems unlikley the Sun will get a large number of subscribers behind a paywall. Just a guess.


Tuesday, 2 July 2024

There could be a problem for newspapers

 I am struck by a lack of news this week. Odd as just ahead of an election. there are some stories but nothing like the energy I remember from previous occasions. It may be the complications of Brexit and the conservative Party that make it complicated for the Mail / Express / Sun / Telegraph. They do not seem to know whether to back Reform or attack on behalf of Conservatives. Many readers probably like Farage stories so there is a muddle.

Print circulation numbers are not published in all cases now but I guess there is decline. Evening standard has stopped print midweek. I think national daily papers may go the same way. Telegraph now £3.50 which seems a lot. FT went expensive but most readers shifted online. It seems possible print was continued for the election but maybe not much longer.

Similar for fringe telly. Could move to YouTube.

Monday, 20 March 2023

Strange silence from proper telly except @SkyNews

 At the weekend I tweeted a lot about the Rwanda trip arranged by UK Home Office and the exclusion of journalists clearly opposed to recent legislation. Today I bought a print copy of Guardian and i but can find nothing that explains how the journalism was arranged. 

There was some online reporting. Independent reports Ed Davey speech. He objected to the exclusion of journalists and claimed it showed Rwanda as a "vanity project" . But I cannot find this reported in i or Guardian. Yesterday Sophy Ridge asked about it but not BBC.

On Twitter I now find an update from Deputy Chairman of Conservative Party / GB News presenter





As this continues it is clear there is a trolling operation with journalists as the target. Only GB News Mail Sun Telegraph Express are accepted as allowed to join the photo trip. Have I got this wrong ? If ITN or Channel 4 were invited please let me know. I am basing this on recent tweets. BBC managed to get accreditation for a local reporter but were not on the plane.

So as far as I can tell this is not a story apart from one question from Sky News and a speech from Ed Davey that was not reported in print. Again, links or clues welcome.

This is alarming. This blog has been mostly about Brexit but the same concerns continue with related issues. European Courts now have the role of an enemy to be blamed for UK policy failures. "Annoying the right people" means lawyers and journalists. "GB" news is actually funded and close to USA polarised opinion. ( By the way if it is worth losing billions to get Trump back on Twitter the losses in tens of millions may be sustainable ) .

Maybe this sort of trolling should be ignored. But then it looks as if the BBC is happy to be excluded and then continue to repeat lines from #No10Sources anyway. Is there any point at which they do public in self defence ? Guardian may explain what they think is happening with media.

The actual numbers on immigration are not well reported. the PM pledge is just "to stop the boats" . The evidence for energy appears to be the numbers of people upset. Where is this heading?

Sunday, 5 March 2023

Fleet Street may diverge from Conservatives

It seems possible that Mail / Sun / Telegrpah / Express may have a different take on Commons Lies investigation to the Conservative Party. By "Fleet Street" I often mean just the Brexit supporting papers. Recently it is possible that Conservative Party with Sunak will take a more "sensible" approach than Johnson and Truss era. But several newspapers are too invested in Brexit and #ShapeShiftingCreep.

Last week Johnson was not in the commons for debate on NI agreement. But a speech later in the week made the Express front page. Rishi Deal will NOT take back control.  The Mail went direst to claiming Partygate as a Labour plot, Express followed the next day.

So my tweets have claimed that Fleet Street no longer regards #BoJoFanClub as a way to sell papers. They may have gone back to BORIS on front page as a way to protect him.  The Sunday Times seems less interested in danger for the former PM, he is still seen as possibly challenging Rishi. But the Observer claims there are Conservative MPs who see the latest attack on Sue Gray and Commons procedure as just more lies and a problem for Conservative reputation. 

Some of the #BoJoFanClub will continue. Andrew Rawnsley ( Observer p37 ) mentions Jacob Rees Mogg and Nadine Dorries with a quote about a plot to bring down "Brexit supporting Boris Johnson " . This could be why the threat to #LiarJohnson is a concern for newspapers. If there was "misinformation" around Partygate will anyone have a closer look at #Brexit ?

Dorries and Rees Mogg both have shows on telly - Talk and GB. Also on telly several journalists who used to be in print before the circulation declines. They also may stick with the #BoJoFanClub . It may be a minority of newspapers looking for a "sensible" Rishi option. But #No10Sources as it is now will try for something. Plenty to look out for over the next few weeks.

#BBC also reluctant to look back on how #Brexit was reported. Just a guess. #BBCLauraK asking questions close to Mail front page, credibility of Sue Gray report. Possibly there will be questions for #BoJoFanClub in future.

 

Sunday, 26 February 2023

BBC style may have changed with the crash

 I recently asked on Twitter if the BBC reporting on Brexit has always been as bad as at the moment . ( Salad and veg has it got anything to do with #Brexit ) etc

I got an interesting reply



So the scope of this is much wider. The crash is back to Cameron and also the Leveson inquiry, even the phone hacking previously. It was not just the BBC support for the Conservative Party, the newspapers had a licence to continue.


Far too much for a book, so blog format will continue.

I will look out for video. I find YouTube works well with Twitter now.  Most news sources are represented.


Tuesday, 9 August 2022

Nesrine Malik and Brexit as Culture

 The Guardian is trying to relate actual news with the Conservatives. Front page has analysis of Truss tax proposals in numbers. But I have realised this is not the way to cope when policy is seen as culture. The tax cuts benefit a particular set of voters but they now also believe in tax cuts as part of a mix of rhetoric. I may overestimate this but it makes some sense of things. Yesterday Sunak in Sun wrote about "Starry Eyed Boosterism" and this is the best term yet to describe Truss economics.

Nesrine Malik in Guardian writes about culture wars as a way for Conservatives to hide from reality such as Brexit, housing or the economy. Brexit consequences are real but I want to explore Brexit just as culture. It could be off topic to compare the claims made in 2016 with reality now. there never was an evidence case. The culture continues. This is where Sunak is failing to get support. He voted Leave but he appears to be a "bean counter" like Cameron and the IMF worthies with Project Fear.

Express today has "Positive" Truss with claim that the best days are ahead for Britain. Editorial mentions "naysayers at the Treasury".

It is uncertain how the culture wars continue outside UK media. Actual newspaper sales continue to decline.